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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,286 | −$6 −0.5% | — | |
| 660d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,167 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 660d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,998 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 665d | TheBoyBilly...2 fills | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,545 | +$267 +1.5% | 4 |
| 665d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,571 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 666d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | −$40 −1.8% | — | |
| 667d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,032 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 669d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,667 | +$231 +3.5% | 4 | |
| 672d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,218 | −$282 −3.9% | — | |
| 672d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,904 | −$134 −2.7% | — | |
| 673d | TheBoyBilly... | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 675d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons between September 3 and December 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.