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Polymarket wallet 0xb21f48ba52d3b7c5479ed69378b5d6cfac7fcf66 · on Polymarket since Oct 7, 2024 · also shown as Impressionable-Aardvark
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 469 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 554 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,350 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BuyYes11¢ | $33 |
| 115d | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BuyYes3¢ | $36 |
| 235d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SellYes17¢ | $93 |
| 237d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $219 |
| 237d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $15 |
| 545d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes22¢ | $102 |
| 676d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyYes12¢ | $69 |
| 707d | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BuyYes32¢ | $148 |
| 740d | Will Trump tweet 40 or more times October 11-18? | BuyYes30¢ | $20 |
| 740d | Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18? | BuyYes38¢ | $50 |
| 745d | Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | BuyYes100¢ | $20 |
| 746d | Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | BuyYes41¢ | $40 |
| 746d | Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | BuyYes17¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.