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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,010 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 589d | LeoXIV | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 590d | K1ngN0rth2 fills | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,372 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 591d | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,251 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 592d | RolandChang | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,170 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 592d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,187 | +$49 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 592d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,228 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 592d | K1ngN0rth | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,585 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 595d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,286 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 598d | DanyBedard | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 599d | VvVv3 fills | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,481 | +$116 +0.5% | 4 |
| 602d | Kevin1991 | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | −$45 −2.1% | — |
| 602d | Kevin1991 | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | +$20 +0.9% | 4 |
| 604d | LeoXIV3 fills | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,704 | +$233 +1.8% | 4 |
| 619d | Gennedy | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | −$166 −3.4% | — |
| 627d | Gennedy2 fills | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,854 | +$119 +3.1% | 4 |
| 639d | VvVv2 fills | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,987 | −$79 −1.1% | — |
| 648d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,676 | +$33 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 652d | SaylorMoon | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,225 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 654d | keyu | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | −$27 −0.9% | — |
| 655d | okcoolstorybro | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,417 | +$134 +1.4% | 4 |
| 655d | Trudeau out in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | −$100 −2.0% | — | |
| 655d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,322 | +$434 +3.0% | 4 | |
| 655d | keyu | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,068 | +$99 +3.2% | 4 |
| 655d | Trudeau out in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$49 +3.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trudeau departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.