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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$33 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 455d | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$36 −3.0% | — | |
| 461d | 854A7843 | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | +$49 +2.2% | 4 |
| 482d | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$258 +21% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Donald Trump and Elon Musk make public statements clearly indicating a mutual reconciliation by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Individual statements indicating reconciliation will not qualify unless reciprocated. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.