Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | +2 pts | +6 pts | 7¢ · 12¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
smellyEllie471 shares
ooops250 shares
TheMasterMind200 shares
Cattail120 shares
DegenerateJanet1,671 shares
ansatz100 shares
Dr.PNL89 shares
Imo7o48 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump calls Nicki Minaj “hot” between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Comparative words like “hotter” and “hottest” (e.g. “She’s hotter than me”) will not count. Nouns containing “hot” like “hotty” will not count. Portmanteaus (words blended from two words where parts of each are combined) do not qualify unless the portmanteau clearly contains “hot” as a distinct, unaltered element. A direct reference to Nicki Minaj will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 10%.