| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 1,000 | 58¢ → 92¢ | $920 | +$335 +57% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 904 | 50¢ → >99¢ | $904 | +$452 +100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 608 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $502 | +$43 +9.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$84 +24% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 480 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $415 | +$24 +6.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$5 +1.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $387 | +$35 +9.8% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $386 | +$34 +9.8% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $380 | +$12 +3.3% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$81 +27% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$18 +5.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$28 +8.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$67 +22% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $370 | +$39 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$36 +11% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $342 | +$12 +3.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $336 | +$7 +2.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $332 | +$25 +8.1% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $310 | +$42 +16% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $307 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $306 | +$14 +4.8% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 334 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $299 | +$55 +22% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $286 | +$50 +21% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$12 +4.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$18 +6.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$35 +14% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$26 +10% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 318 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $278 | +$43 +18% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 323 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $278 | +$84 +44% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $278 | +$49 +21% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 300 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $278 | +$92 +49% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 304 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $277 | +$66 +31% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 47¢ → 91¢ | $273 | +$132 +93% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $272 | +$18 +7.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 38¢ → 89¢ | $266 | +$152 +133% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $264 | +$17 +6.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $263 | −$14 −4.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 300 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$39 +18% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 307 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $250 | +$10 +4.0% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $233 | +$5 +2.0% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 300 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $233 | −$8 −3.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 400 | 70¢ → 54¢ | $215 | −$64 −23% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $215 | +$21 +11% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 37¢ → 52¢ | $209 | +$62 +43% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 219 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $204 | +$44 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 44¢ → 68¢ | $203 | +$71 +53% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $197 | +$70 +55% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$22 +13% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$18 +10% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 206 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $187 | +$19 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 421 | 70¢ → 42¢ | $175 | −$120 −41% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $170 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 67¢ → 80¢ | $159 | +$25 +19% |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 160 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $153 | +$36 +31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $147 | +$9 +6.5% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 60¢ | $119 | +$19 +19% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 406 | 61¢ → 24¢ | $95 | −$152 −61% |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$18 +23% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 490 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $88 | −$40 −31% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 58¢ → 96¢ | $87 | +$35 +67% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 14¢ → 27¢ | $81 | +$39 +93% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $65 | −$6 −9.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $59 | −$2 −2.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 43¢ → 20¢ | $59 | −$69 −54% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 100 | 35¢ → 53¢ | $53 | +$18 +50% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $53 | +$17 +46% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 300 | 53¢ → 13¢ | $39 | −$121 −76% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $26 | +$19 +265% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 16¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$18 +484% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 10d | Yes | 300 | 69¢ → 5¢ | $16 | −$192 −92% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $15 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $12 | +$3 +31% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $11 | +$4 +51% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 49 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $7 | +$5 +172% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 508 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$2 +42% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$35 −87% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$12 −71% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 904 | 50¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$452 −100% |
