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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  JesusReturns2026 | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,568 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d |  AGPamBondi2 fills | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 314d | Bubba4Pres | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 315d |  spectral-mango-protocol | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,895 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 344d | Jdsads | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 345d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | −$19 −1.1% | — |
| 348d | Kashif17 | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,780 | −$26 −0.9% | — |
| 348d | Kashif17 | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d | kfdhvgkfdg | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,482 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 354d | funguy1988 | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 355d |  PaddyAlpha | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SellNo100¢ | $1,171 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 360d | PaddyAlpha | Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
sabosscoin4,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.