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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 438d | rwo | Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,334 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 438d |  ScottyNooo | Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,964 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 438d | k00pa | Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$21 +1.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.