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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No endorsement / Other | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ken Paxton | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Cornyn | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235d | No endorsement / Other | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,555 | +$189 +5.3% | 10 |
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump first announces that he endorses for the Texas Republican Senate Primary election by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump endorses someone not listed in this market or does not announce an endorsement by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No endorsement / Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No endorsement / Other means the market gives it about 100%.