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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | Yeswayne | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,071 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 641d | Cryptonite101 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | abeautifulmind2 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $70,725 | +$140 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d | JuicyLucy | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo100¢ | $1,290 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 642d | dora4ka | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,194 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 642d |  MMousse13 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $90,640 | −$1,134 −1.3% | — |
| 642d | Pochik | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 642d | ExhaustedBoyBilly4 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,612 | −$1,187 −6.4% | — |
| 643d | Arpi | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,610 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 643d | Pynya2 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,000 | +$70 +0.3% | 4 |
| 643d |  donkeykongnig | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo100¢ | $1,162 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 643d |  Erasmus. | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,009 | −$175 −0.8% | — |
| 643d | Nowhere-Man | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,112 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 644d |  MotherTheresa | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | −$16 −0.7% | — |
| 644d | RostyslavCh3 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,998 | −$48 −1.0% | — |
| 644d | polywog | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,661 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 644d |  B35 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 644d | TheBoyBilly... | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,965 | −$36 −0.6% | — |
| 644d |  Justitia2 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,306 | −$65 −0.8% | — |
| 644d | goldingboy | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo100¢ | $31,056 | −$156 −0.5% | — |
| 644d |  cdpor2 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,335 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 645d | Folletin3 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,986 | −$164 −1.4% | — |
| 645d | RostyslavCh2 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 645d | Enclose1217 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo100¢ | $2,282 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 645d |  Donkov3 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo100¢ | $10,037 | −$50 −0.5% | — |
| 645d | ribei | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 645d | YasH | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 646d | stopwar | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 646d | donkeykongnig | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,163 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 646d |  sorcerer.11 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 646d | ribei | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 646d | pmkt1939 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,735 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 646d |  funnyday | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,586 | −$46 −1.0% | — |
| 646d | Neoss | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 647d | retardinho | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 647d | Adaptive.Adam | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 647d | MariaAntuanette | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 647d | LIZ | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 647d | stopwar | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 648d |  Sergsky | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 648d | Isaak👴 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 648d | borula | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 649d | 0x8f0a2 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | −$28 −0.9% | — |
| 649d | aljhflahf | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | akjfoauf | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d | faknfm | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | falkfa | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d | daknfla | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | bkajbf | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d | guojingyu | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | kmlouj | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d | hbkafd | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | wulitoyup | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d | mafengfeng | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 649d | mafengyuan | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 650d | 0x8f0a | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,689 | +$34 +0.9% | 4 |
| 651d | dsplyname | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 651d |  ANudeEgg5 fills | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $26,809 | −$681 −2.5% | — |
| 651d | Smallpeepee | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$46 +0.9% | 4 |
TrumpIsPeace492,485 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an armistice, ceasefire, or negotiated settlement is announced by both Ukraine and Russia regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least the temporary end of the Ukraine-Russia military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both countries. The specific date that such an agreement will take effect is not relevant to the resolution of this market. The only requirement is that the agreement must be announced within this market's specified timeframe. This market will resolve based on the first announcement of such an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.