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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15b+ | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$3b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3-5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5-7b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $7-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $10-15b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | sdsdsf | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $2,058 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | 11111222 | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $2,127 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Nobody23041 | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | diseax | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,287 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | $15b+ | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,229 | −$416 −5.8% | — | |
| 641d | Scarb | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,122 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 642d | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $2,336 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 642d | openzone | $15b+ | SellYes>99¢ | $15,199 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 642d | abeautifulmind | $15b+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,271 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 642d | Honey12345 | $10-15b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,646 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 642d | cigarettes | $7-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,429 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 642d | cigarettes | $10-15b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,427 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 642d | CapMeng4 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $51,437 | +$244 +0.5% | 2 |
| 642d | Happyjoe | $15b+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,950 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 642d | JJJAY | $15b+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 642d | macorollos | $15b+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 642d | GironaNite | $15b+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,215 | +$18 +0.8% | 2 |
| 642d | openzone | $15b+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$214 +1.4% | 2 |
| 642d | G1223 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,316 | +$119 +1.2% | 2 |
| 642d | $10-15b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 642d | $7-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 642d | $7-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 642d | FloorScrubber | $15b+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$29 +2.8% | 2 |
| 642d | $15b+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,246 | +$414 +5.7% | 2 | |
| 642d | nola723243 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $19,278 | +$722 +3.7% | 2 |
| 642d | xasayarrr | $15b+ | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$142 +3.8% | 2 |
| 642d | isaeVV | <$3b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 642d | Ritzritz | $15b+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$38 +3.1% | 2 |
| 642d | $15b+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$71 +5.4% | 2 | |
| 642d | PylonMusk | $15b+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$94 +5.9% | 2 |
| 642d | sdsdsf | $15b+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$60 +3.0% | 2 |
| 642d | 11111222 | $15b+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$74 +5.3% | 2 |
| 642d | yuki333-705 | $10-15b | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$20 −1.6% | — |
| 642d | $15b+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,892 | +$300 +2.5% | 2 | |
| 642d | Runny-PinaforeNew account | $15b+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$38 +3.6% | 3 |
| 642d | OneAHalfshadow2 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,257 | +$162 +3.8% | 2 |
| 642d | $15b+ | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$69 −6.0% | — | |
| 642d | $15b+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$68 +5.4% | 2 | |
| 642d | $7-10b | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$24 −2.1% | — | |
| 642d | OneAHalfshadow | $15b+ | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | −$247 −12% | — |
| 642d | $15b+ | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | −$120 −6.6% | — | |
| 642d | $15b+ | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$38 −2.9% | — | |
| 643d | MashedPotato | $10-15b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,998 | +$128 +0.7% | 2 |
| 643d | diseax | $15b+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$29 +2.3% | 2 |
| 643d | $5-7b | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$10 −0.7% | — | |
| 643d | madkkee2 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,065 | +$509 +8.4% | 2 |
| 643d | $15b+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$67 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 643d | Scarb | $15b+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$67 +6.4% | 2 |
| 643d | $15b+ | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$295 +10.0% | 2 | |
| 643d | lilquant | $10-15b | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,448 | +$260 +7.5% | 2 |
| 643d | $15b+ | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$177 +15% | 3 | |
| 643d | enrico-vasaio | $15b+ | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$240 +19% | 3 |
| 643d | idkwhoiam2 | $15b+ | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,731 | −$559 −20% | — |
| 643d | K1ngN0rth | $15b+ | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$280 +20% | 3 |
| 643d | <$3b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$42 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 644d | idkwhoiam22 fills | $15b+ | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,924 | +$366 +13% | 2 |
| 644d | <$3b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$23 +2.1% | 2 | |
| 644d | $5-7b | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$36 +3.4% | 2 | |
| 644d | 0x0B83d0C0976b71724054E9F74A471F7d1c7AbDc4 | $15b+ | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$413 +41% | 3 |
This is a market on the future market price of $TRUMP on inauguration day at noon.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $15b+ means the market gives it about 100%.