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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Trump grope video released before the election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,522 | +$62 +0.8% | 20 |
| 718d |  Car2 fills | Trump grope video released before the election? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | +$88 +4.2% | 20 |
| 721d | JoshuaHendrickson | Trump grope video released before the election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$26 +2.1% | 20 |
| 727d |  ImJustKen | Trump grope video released before the election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | +$157 +5.3% | 20 |
| 728d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump grope video released before the election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$228 +6.5% | 20 |
equinox125 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a video of Donald Trump groping a woman is made public between October 23 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying videos must be video footage showing non-consensual physical contact initiated by Trump on a woman's breast, buttocks, or crotch. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered. The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.