Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$1m fine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Probation | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| >$100k fine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Community Service | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| House Arrest | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d |  Car2 fills | >$1m fine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,931 | +$75 +1.3% | 20 |
| 724d | VorpalQuark2 fills | >$1m fine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,124 | +$72 +1.2% | 20 |
| 726d | Car | >$1m fine | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,097 | −$84 −2.0% | — |
| 732d | commeowder | >$1m fine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$21 +1.4% | 20 |
| 738d |  ImJustKen | >$1m fine | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | −$78 −2.4% | — |
| 738d | ImJustKen | >$100k fine | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | −$72 −2.6% | — |
| 752d |  MarekyMarek | >$100k fine | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | −$61 −2.2% | — |
| 752d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | >$1m fine | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,169 | −$219 −1.7% | — |
| 754d | 0x350f2383aee8c607df7bc10b94fd064d1bfb3904 | House Arrest | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 754d | 0x350f2383aee8c607df7bc10b94fd064d1bfb3904 | House Arrest | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 778d | ImJustKen | Probation | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,210 | +$66 +2.0% | 20 |
| 778d | ImJustKen | Community Service | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$67 +5.9% | 20 |
| 778d | ImJustKen | House Arrest | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$167 +13% | 20 |
| 802d | nofaceface2 fills | >$1m fine | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,525 | +$384 +7.0% | 20 |
| 807d | hh33 | Probation | SellNo21¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | −$7,902 −376% | — |
| 807d | 336666 | Probation | SellNo21¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | −$7,961 −376% | — |
| 808d | 336666 | Probation | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $4,938 | +$5,139 +104% | 20 |
| 808d | hh33 | Probation | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $4,901 | +$5,101 +104% | 20 |
| 809d | 655222 | >$100k fine | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $4,497 | −$5,071 −113% | — |
| 810d | 655222 | >$100k fine | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $4,497 | +$5,071 +113% | 21 |
| 810d | 63588 | >$100k fine | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $5,020 | +$5,020 +100% | — |
| 811d | 966588 | >$100k fine | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $4,451 | +$5,020 +113% | 21 |
| 812d | ooll | >$100k fine | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $5,232 | +$5,232 +100% | — |
| 813d | 221233 | >$100k fine | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,078 | +$5,078 +100% | 20 |
| 815d | 456321 | >$100k fine | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $4,875 | +$4,875 +100% | — |
| 816d | 89655 | >$100k fine | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $5,166 | +$4,581 +89% | 20 |
| 829d | 322599 | Probation | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $5,150 | −$5,360 −104% | — |
| 830d | 322599 | Probation | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,197 | +$5,202 +100% | 20 |
| 831d | 38870 | Probation | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,199 | −$5,199 −100% | — |
| 831d | 023311 | Probation | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $5,075 | +$5,075 +100% | — |
| 832d | gg322 | Probation | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $5,199 | −$5,199 −100% | 20 |
| 832d | 33300 | Probation | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,074 | +$5,074 +100% | 20 |
| 844d | MarekyMarek | >$100k fine | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$1,030 +70% | 20 |
| 844d | MarekyMarek | House Arrest | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$126 +12% | 20 |
| 844d | MarekyMarek | Community Service | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$502 +31% | 20 |
| 867d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥2 fills | >$1m fine | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,043 | +$289 +5.7% | 20 |
| 867d | ImJustKen | Probation | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 20 |
| 868d | ArberB | >$1m fine | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$70 −6.7% | — |
| 869d |  50Whence2 fills | >$1m fine | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | −$148 −6.2% | — |
| 875d |  aenews2 | Community Service | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$354 +33% | 20 |
| 875d | ArberB | >$1m fine | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$57 +5.3% | 20 |
| 876d |  MAGA4eva | >$1m fine | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$53 +5.3% | 20 |
This is a market on the likelihood of a sentencing outcome for Donald Trump's hush money case.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >$1m fine means the market gives it about 0%.