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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629d | SomeOne45 | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,287 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 629d |  d1k212 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d |  MotherTheresa19 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $185,931 | +$2,535 +1.4% | 20 |
| 629d |  EA82 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,145 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 629d | Cashkar | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 629d | M888 | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes100¢ | $1,522 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 629d | mrBet | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes100¢ | $1,073 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 629d |  Bang... | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,443 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 629d | Bang... | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,443 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d |  zalkida | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,149 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d |  maktouch | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,273 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 629d | DragonRider-8192 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,046 | +$199 +4.9% | 20 |
| 629d |  debased | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 630d | crim | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | −$63 −2.0% | — |
| 630d | Cbarbhwux3 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,336 | +$1,828 +25% | 20 |
| 630d | semi | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$119 +7.5% | 20 |
| 630d |  MEPP3 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $11,861 | +$1,891 +16% | 20 |
| 630d | metapotato | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $50,000 | +$3,433 +6.9% | 20 |
| 630d | MyFriendTotoro | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,304 | −$1,304 −100% | 22 |
| 630d |  aeonpneuma | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | −$144 −11% | — |
| 630d | FrantzY | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$360 −14% | — |
| 630d | Sirius109 | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$135 +10% | 20 |
| 630d | affs20791 | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$320 +11% | 20 |
| 630d | a4gr1m | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$209 +15% | 20 |
| 630d | HBCM3 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $59,688 | +$6,263 +10% | 20 |
| 631d | crim | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$383 +14% | 20 |
| 631d | MFMF | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | −$236 −18% | — |
| 631d | MFMF | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$307 +14% | 20 |
| 631d | chadprince | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,550 | +$777 +14% | 20 |
| 631d |  Car | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | −$288 −16% | — |
| 631d | 0x2B4952 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $17,754 | +$2,246 +13% | 20 |
| 631d |  ItsNotFine | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$162 −15% | — |
| 631d | FREEMONEYBET | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,738 | +$238 +8.7% | 20 |
| 631d | Car | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$128 +12% | 20 |
| 631d | Fiscalinator | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 631d | 0xbaa5 | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 20 |
| 631d | Villarrica | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,751 | +$757 +28% | 20 |
| 632d | lug | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,145 | −$1,145 −100% | 20 |
| 632d | maktouch | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,919 | +$2,364 +81% | 20 |
| 633d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | SellYes27¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | −$6,790 −277% | — |
| 633d | SomeOne452 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | +$2,458 +95% | 20 |
| 633d |  LucyCross3 fills | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $3,677 | −$3,677 −100% | 20 |
| 639d | TexMexTRex | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$4,252 +283% | 22 |
| 640d |  punishedgoon | Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | −$1,105 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from Mexico and Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from Mexico and Canada is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.