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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640d | aviato | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 640d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,405 | +$23 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 640d | spark1 | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,030 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 640d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | −$45 −0.9% | — | |
| 640d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$122 +4.4% | 4 | |
| 640d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 640d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$174 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 640d | Manu888 | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$111 −10% | — |
| 641d | Isaak👴 | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,227 | +$100 +3.1% | 4 |
| 641d | Lopgft | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$45 +3.6% | 4 |
| 641d | Up-Down | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$155 +4.7% | 4 |
| 641d | RobXK3 fills | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,695 | +$495 +6.4% | 4 |
| 641d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$77 −5.9% | — | |
| 642d | MayorOfMagaville6969 | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,372 | −$1,372 −100% | 4 |
| 644d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $50,790 | +$1,848 +3.6% | 4 | |
| 651d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,630 | −$458 −3.6% | — | |
| 653d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 654d | Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $11,972 | +$1,116 +9.3% | 4 |
41,800,260 people tuned in to watch the inauguration of Ronald Reagan on Tuesday, Jan. 20, 1981, the most viewed in history (see: https://www.nielsen.com/insights/2013/presidential-inauguration-draws-20-6-million-viewers/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has more than 41,800,260 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.