| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16,170 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $12,855 | +$2,486 +24% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12,955 | 31¢ → 83¢ | $10,688 | +$6,731 +170% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,391 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $3,035 | +$571 +23% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,124 | 55¢ → 87¢ | $1,848 | +$678 +58% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,047 | 41¢ → 85¢ | $1,730 | +$885 +105% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 705 | 61¢ → 84¢ | $589 | +$159 +37% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 471 | 52¢ → 80¢ | $374 | +$131 +54% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 430 | 18¢ → 76¢ | $327 | +$250 +325% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 434d | No | 385 | 78¢ → 69¢ | $265 | −$35 −12% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 405 | 74¢ → 45¢ | $182 | −$118 −39% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8,602 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $176 | +$46 +36% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 322 | 56¢ → 47¢ | $150 | −$30 −17% |
| Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 220 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $85 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 73 | 33¢ → 86¢ | $63 | +$39 +162% |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 55¢ → 71¢ | $55 | +$12 +28% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 690 | 29¢ → 8¢ | $52 | −$150 −74% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $40 | +$9 +31% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 175 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $37 | −$12 −25% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $34 | +$6 +21% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 34 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $33 | +$5 +17% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 44 | 45¢ → 56¢ | $25 | +$5 +26% |
| Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 81 | 22¢ → 30¢ | $24 | +$6 +33% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.3% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 26 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 488 | 41¢ → 4¢ | $17 | −$183 −91% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 80¢ | $17 | +$7 +66% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 535 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $16 | −$7 −29% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,596 | 46¢ → 1¢ | $16 | −$718 −98% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 63 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $14 | +$4 +41% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 714 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$86 −86% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 17 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 17 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $14 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 23 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 35¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$8 +167% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 488 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$89 −89% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 46¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$3 +65% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 9 | 57¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$3 +64% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 46¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$3 −26% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 7 | 68¢ → 90¢ | $7 | +$2 +32% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $5 | −$5 −45% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 76¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 43¢ → 13¢ | $4 | −$11 −71% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +42% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 4 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$1 +49% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 54¢ → 80¢ | $4 | +$1 +47% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 56¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$1 +74% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 51¢ → 83¢ | $3 | +$1 +63% |
| Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$6 −64% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +17% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 50¢ → 60¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 44¢ | $2 | +$1 +89% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.2% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 70¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 67¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 2 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Ends in 275d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 67¢ → 47¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 23¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 434 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Anthropic | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,345 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,087 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
