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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 100% | −3 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235d |  Cloverince | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,000 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 235d |  Car6 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,843 | +$131 +0.5% | 4 |
| 235d | Car2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,835 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 235d |  ScottyNooo | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,342 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 235d | ScottyNooo2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,385 | +$158 +2.1% | 4 |
| 235d | Odysseus72 fills | March 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,602 | +$163 +4.5% | 4 |
| 236d | diadjaid3 fills | March 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,456 | +$775 +5.4% | 4 |
| 237d |  Mr-Krabs | March 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$69 +5.6% | 4 |
| 264d | Mr-Krabs | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,888 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | Mr-Krabs3 fills | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,922 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 264d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,474 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  Flipadelphia | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
0xleo888800 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities against Iran between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the listed date of the report. This market may stay open until 10 days after the listed date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 100%.