Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | Yannisx | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | −$125 −8.7% | — |
| 716d |  tiktok-tumoulin | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$173 +11% | 4 |
| 717d | TrumpPump | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$4,519 +226% | 7 |
| 717d |  Adroit | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$2,575 +257% | 12 |
| 718d | FeathersTogether | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 10 |
| 718d | Matti003 | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,060 | −$2,060 −100% | 8 |
| 718d | AntiMAGA2 fills | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $22,226 | −$22,226 −100% | 6 |
| 719d | Albert 1953 | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,766 | −$1,766 −100% | 8 |
| 720d |  ImJustKen | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,781 | −$1,781 −100% | 8 |
| 721d | presbet2 fills | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $8,158 | −$22,842 −280% | — |
| 722d | presbet2 fills | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $10,313 | +$22,251 +216% | 14 |
| 722d |  itsgg2 fills | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $13,963 | −$13,963 −100% | 6 |
| 722d |  JJo | Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $2,396 | +$5,200 +217% | 9 |
nils7 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins every Rust Belt swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "Rust Belt swing states": Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.