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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651d | Ronaldo2100 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,846 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 651d | Nobody230412 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,344 | −$31 −0.4% | — |
| 651d |  Erasmus. | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,854 | +$21 +0.2% | 20 |
| 651d |  ehhhemmm | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 652d | jijime | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 652d | commeowder | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$29 +0.9% | 20 |
| 653d | nola72324 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 654d | Ronaldo2100 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 656d |  Master-bettor | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | +$34 +1.6% | 20 |
| 658d | jijime | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 658d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,652 | +$133 +1.1% | 20 |
| 658d | polyproguy2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,298 | +$137 +2.6% | 20 |
| 658d |  MMousse8 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $37,118 | +$502 +1.4% | 20 |
| 658d | Inborn-FamiliarityNew account | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | −$46 −2.3% | — |
| 660d | pulica2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,419 | −$177 −1.0% | — |
| 660d | abeautifulmind | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | +$16 +0.9% | 20 |
| 660d | Inborn-FamiliarityNew account | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$17 +0.9% | 20 |
| 660d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,961 | +$151 +1.7% | 20 |
| 674d | Idontwantausername | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,856 | −$144 −3.7% | — |
| 692d | TheBoyBilly... | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | −$75 −1.5% | — |
| 699d | pulica2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,205 | +$417 +2.4% | 20 |
| 700d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$58 −3.0% | — |
| 700d |  ImJustKen | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,465 | +$325 +4.4% | 20 |
| 703d | Nobody23041 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$91 +5.3% | 20 |
| 703d |  Car3 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,554 | +$285 +5.1% | 20 |
| 703d | 1mperator17 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | +$149 +5.4% | 20 |
| 705d | upp | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$83 −6.4% | — |
| 707d | upp | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$66 +5.1% | 20 |
| 707d | chph1988 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 23 |
| 709d | Chad-Wasp | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $18,530 | −$896 −4.8% | — |
| 711d | Chad-Wasp4 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $23,334 | +$1,175 +5.0% | 20 |
| 712d | ceiqm | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$73 −6.6% | — |
| 714d | frank1101 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if sentencing is definitively cancelled or postponed beyond that date, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. This market will resolve based on the first sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
