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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 8 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476d | nostradamus-markets | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,433 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 476d | nostradamus-markets | July 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 476d |  DirkDiggler672 fills | July 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,045 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 476d |  AgricultureSecretary | July 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,097 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 476d | AgricultureSecretary | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,575 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 476d | DirkDiggler67 | July 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,280 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 476d | DirkDiggler67 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,494 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 477d | unwillingly-public | July 4 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,666 | +$54 +0.5% | 4 |
| 477d | BobbyB2 fills | July 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,041 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 477d | BobbyB | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,528 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 477d |  ThemanofLadyLuck | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,030 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 478d | fsx45 | July 8 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$39 +3.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs into law a budget reconciliation bill by 11:59 PM ET on the list date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 4 means the market gives it about 100%.