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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d |  spacebike | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,899 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 757d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,623 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 757d |  studmuffin6969 | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,945 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 757d |  itsgg6 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,213 | +$111 +0.5% | 4 |
| 757d | PrinceHal8 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $15,066 | +$2,721 +18% | 4 |
| 758d |  Slimedart2 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,781 | −$145 −2.5% | — |
| 758d | semi | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$32 +3.2% | 5 |
| 759d | PrinceHal3 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $7,516 | −$1,681 −22% | — |
| 760d |  ShellyTurtle | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | −$357 −22% | — |
| 760d |  LEGACY-ACCT | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$327 −22% | — |
| 760d | Slimedart3 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,568 | +$1,195 +26% | 4 |
| 760d |  Rasalgethi2 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,149 | −$1,246 −30% | — |
| 760d | Rasalgethi2 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,617 | +$816 +31% | 4 |
| 760d |  beigesun2 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,472 | −$823 −18% | — |
| 761d | OPMSucks | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | +$264 +12% | 5 |
| 761d | spacebike | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$407 +16% | 5 |
| 764d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | +$1,306 +100% | — |
| 764d | beigesun | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$724 +67% | 4 |
| 764d | ACat-3672 fills | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,353 | +$1,771 +75% | 4 |
| 764d |  ProteinProsecco | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 4 |
ProteinProsecco20,415 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 50.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.