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Polymarket wallet 0x596ba85f77df303455369a4fcec0f86b0a306c56 · on Polymarket since Sep 12, 2024 · also shown as Gummy-Phosphate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,545 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,277 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 812 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,880 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$292 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 729d | Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? | BuyYes3¢ | $116 |
| 729d | Israel strikes Iranian oil in October? | SellYes14¢ | $19 |
| 749d | Israel strikes Iranian oil in October? | BuyYes65¢ | $88 |
| 753d | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo11¢ | $62 |
| 755d | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo33¢ | $31 |
| 764d | Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday? | BuyYes29¢ | $14 |
| 764d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20? | SellNo6¢ | $14 |
| 765d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20? | BuyNo34¢ | $78 |
| 765d | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo67¢ | $100 |
| 769d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $236 |
| 772d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $56 |
| 772d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | BuyNo2¢ | $41 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.