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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | — | 0 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 680d | 0x2370…0e10 | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | SellTrump50¢ | $1,176 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 692d |  itsgg2 fills | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden48¢ → 50¢ | $3,063 | +$148 +4.8% | 2 |
| 695d | amanmanha | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyTrump55¢ → 50¢ | $2,928 | −$246 −8.4% | 2 |
| 712d | Vetch | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | SellTrump51¢ → 50¢ | $2,186 | +$43 +2.0% | — |
| 743d | CoolBetguy | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden45¢ → 50¢ | $2,244 | +$249 +11% | 3 |
| 760d |  -nothingburger- | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden45¢ → 50¢ | $1,266 | +$141 +11% | 2 |
| 766d |  Charmie2 fills | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | SellTrump54¢ → 50¢ | $2,140 | +$140 +6.5% | — |
| 766d | Naturalnoob2 fills | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden44¢ → 50¢ | $3,581 | +$488 +14% | 3 |
| 783d | Vetch2 fills | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyTrump58¢ → 50¢ | $4,274 | −$602 −14% | 2 |
| 785d | hmmmmm-365 | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden45¢ → 50¢ | $3,031 | +$337 +11% | 3 |
| 806d |  ImJustKen | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyTrump58¢ → 50¢ | $1,567 | −$208 −13% | 2 |
| 822d | OMNI | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | SellTrump54¢ → 50¢ | $5,000 | +$372 +7.4% | — |
| 828d | MIKEXE | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden27¢ → 50¢ | $1,165 | +$997 +86% | 3 |
| 896d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyTrump48¢ → 50¢ | $1,128 | +$47 +4.2% | 2 |
| 896d |  WordleAddict | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyTrump46¢ → 50¢ | $1,081 | +$94 +8.7% | 2 |
| 917d |  Tenable-Dome | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | SellBoden62¢ → 50¢ | $1,502 | +$291 +19% | — |
| 917d | Tenable-Dome | Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B | BuyBoden61¢ → 50¢ | $2,546 | −$471 −19% | 2 |
Persist100 sharesThis market will resolve to the crypto token which is first to reach 1,000,000,000.00 in fully diluted valuation or greater for five consecutive minutes between April 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "$TRUMP" if the FDV of $TRUMP achieves the resolution criteria before $boden. This market will resolve to "$boden" if $boden achieves the resolution criteria before $TRUMP. If neither achieves the resolution criteria before this market's end date, it will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $TRUMP (https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0xe4b8583ccb95b25737c016ac88e539d0605949e8) and $boden (https://dexscreener.com/solana/6uybx1x8yucfj8ystpyizbyg7uqzaq2s46zwphumkjg5), viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart. Specifically, five consecutive 1-minute price candles need to all have Low prices which, when multiplied by the total supply of $TRUMP and $boden, provide an FDV $1,000,000,000.00 or greater for this market to resolve in favor of one token or the other. If the five minute period starts at e.g. December 31, 11:58 PM ET to January 1, 12:02 AM ET, it will count for this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 50%.