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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +84 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712d | Cooperative-Takeover | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 712d |  Master-bettor | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,768 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 712d | tokas | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,563 | +$47 +0.1% | 4 |
| 712d | 4trumppppp | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $83,929 | +$84 +0.1% | 4 |
| 712d |  09432 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $302,072 | +$605 +0.2% | 4 |
| 712d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,389 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 712d |  d1k212 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,069 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 712d | AzariahJuby7 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $45,769 | −$510 −1.1% | — |
| 712d |  peasant2 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $24,167 | +$544 +2.3% | 4 |
| 712d | AaBBCCDD-826 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,005 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 712d | StudentMoney3 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,557 | −$43 −0.5% | — |
| 712d | Mike888-247 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $120,262 | +$241 +0.2% | 4 |
| 712d | Sadrax | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 4 |
| 712d |  heidong | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,768 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 712d | heidong | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,772 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 712d |  bosshog5 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,974 | +$119 +1.1% | 4 |
| 712d |  Merlot | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,048 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 712d | SantosH | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,943 | +$24 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d |  JJo | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 713d |  Astera3 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,266 | −$120 −0.7% | — |
| 713d |  beigesun2 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $17,910 | +$90 +0.5% | 4 |
| 713d |  Rasalgethi2 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,967 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d | Touhou | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,358 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 713d | aadvark | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,602 | −$45 −0.7% | — |
| 713d | SuperiorAndrew2 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $48,008 | −$351 −0.7% | — |
| 713d |  50Whence4 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $91,391 | +$6,671 +7.3% | 4 |
| 713d | 13583 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 713d | 13582 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,096 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d | JJo | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,960 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d | Yeueu6 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $114,877 | −$747 −0.7% | — |
| 713d | seoeun | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,208 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d | ddongjoo | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,244 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 713d | Alexhmcc4 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,698 | −$127 −0.6% | — |
| 714d | dabman | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | −$20 −0.6% | — |
| 714d |  meowinglion | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes100¢ | $1,992 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 714d | rualigator | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes100¢ | $1,684 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 714d | winterfrost | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,113 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 714d |  pocahontasporker16 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $132,360 | +$4,109 +3.1% | 4 |
| 714d |  elmcap2 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $80,931 | +$407 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d | COOLBOY | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | −$21 −0.8% | — |
| 714d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 714d | 0xGuide | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 714d | lissartter2 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,161 | +$104 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d | MikeJones | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 714d |  punishedgoon | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,132 | −$66 −0.8% | — |
| 714d | ahj-280 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 714d |  sysytle900 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,012 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  nicepig7722 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,012 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  rbtjd665 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,011 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  hamin1801 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,012 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  cbkk1921 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,015 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  joker7274 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,248 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | Mealy-Material | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes100¢ | $2,146 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 715d |  iamhungry | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes100¢ | $1,542 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 715d | Trump2032-365 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $5,956 | +$30 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | iamhungry | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,542 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | Pau1y | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,044 | −$177 −0.7% | — |
| 715d | clamz | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | −$23 −0.7% | — |
| 715d | 3862 | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,185 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | pocahontasporker7 fills | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $112,390 | −$1,905 −1.7% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins every swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.