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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726d | TipToe2 fills | Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,488 | +$447 +8.2% | 10 |
| 729d | Naropoly | Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$121 +12% | 10 |
| 729d |  itsgg | Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | +$605 +12% | 10 |
enochsmiles13 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania and loses the the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.