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Polymarket wallet 0xa2f19dc17fe9b4aeaf0eff2f7749922f74a6c5cd · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Sneaky-Commodity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,471 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,456 −100% |
| Will Trump claim victory by midnight?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 239 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 248 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 716d | Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $5 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo30¢ | $975 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday? | BuyYes33¢ | $2 |
| 717d | Will Trump claim victory by midnight? | BuyYes42¢ | $100 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo38¢ | $367 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo38¢ | $6 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo38¢ | $2 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo38¢ | $6 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $38 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $361 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $21 |
| 717d | Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo38¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.