Polymarket · CryptoClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503d | Nobody23041 | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 503d | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 507d | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$79 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 523d | mooseytunes02 fills | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | −$123 −4.5% | — |
| 524d | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$32 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 556d | mooseytunes0 | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,770 | +$198 +5.3% | 2 |
| 564d | riskmanager | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$261 +9.3% | 2 |
| 625d | Nobody23041 | Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$260 +20% | 2 |
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires any Bitcoin (including through an ETF) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The fund must actually acquire Bitcoin or a Bitcoin position in order to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Announcements of the intention to acquire Bitcoin will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.