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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | 100% | +75 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| FC Bayern München | 0% | −47 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal FC | 0% | −28 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Reckless-Derivation | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $10,525 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 2d |  Marcos.vher | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $24,512 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Those-Sandpaper | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,067 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Punctual-Motor | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Winning2... | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | alaskabaked | FC Bayern München | SellNo>99¢ | $11,352 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 2d |  Mr.Kirk | FC Bayern München | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Fitting-Quilt-Drawer | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,980 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | omnibus-6c8b15 | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | MilesY | FC Bayern München | SellNo>99¢ | $2,371 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | MinevaJ | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,042 | +$122 +1.7% | 4 |
| 2d | Observer7 | FC Bayern München | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | +$1,138 +100% | — |
| 2d | Reckless-Derivation | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$535 +5.4% | 4 |
| 2d | Those-Sandpaper | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$269 +15% | 4 |
| 2d | Flaznorp10 fills | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $20,931 | +$19,385 +93% | 12 |
| 2d | Observer7 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | xxyx0xx | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,804 | +$495 +18% | 4 |
| 2d | 1esportpro | FC Bayern München | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | −$168 −11% | — |
| 2d | Whole-Leading | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,754 +28% | 4 |
| 2d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$611 +45% | 4 |
| 2d | Flaznorp14 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $79,241 | +$25,124 +32% | 12 |
| 2d | ferdinand23 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,374 | +$1,722 +39% | 13 |
| 2d | Impeccable-Estimate | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | −$681 −49% | — |
| 2d | Flaznorp5 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $14,081 | +$4,081 +29% | 4 |
| 2d | alaskabaked | Arsenal FC | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | +$1,178 +100% | — |
| 2d | Flaznorp12 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $64,169 | −$64,169 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $16,118 | −$16,118 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | n.maga2 fills | FC Bayern München | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $3,922 | +$3,922 +100% | — |
| 2d | n.maga | FC Bayern München | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Whole-Leading | FC Bayern München | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d |  makoke2 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,452 | −$3,452 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Hoch | Arsenal FC | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$263 +5.3% | 4 |
| 2d |  bernardi22 | FC Bayern München | SellNo27¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | −$4,503 −270% | — |
| 2d | neutralwave23 | FC Bayern München | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | +$1,299 +100% | — |
| 2d | 0xadc2…96eb | FC Bayern München | SellNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | −$4,292 −238% | — |
| 2d | 0xadc2…96eb | FC Bayern München | BuyNo27¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$4,434 +267% | 4 |
| 2d |  hanbetscap | FC Bayern München | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | +$1,460 +100% | — |
| 2d | ferdinand2 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | −$1,215 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | bluemol | FC Bayern München | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d |  RN1 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | afraz | FC Bayern München | SellYes71¢ → 0¢ | $12,177 | +$12,177 +100% | — |
| 2d | omnibus-6c8b15 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d |  Pafuta | Arsenal FC | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | +$104 +6.4% | 4 |
| 2d |  JustADonk | FC Bayern München | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,267 | −$2,267 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | bigbeliever | Arsenal FC | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $17,105 | +$1,032 +6.0% | 4 |
| 2d | YG365 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | bernardi22 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Flaznorp2 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $3,760 | −$3,760 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | forrestgumper | Arsenal FC | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$378 −35% | — |
| 2d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $13,721 | +$8,048 +59% | 4 |
| 2d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $6,545 | −$6,545 −100% | 12 |
| 2d | LSB1 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $10,932 | −$10,932 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | RN12 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $9,360 | +$3,436 +37% | 4 |
| 2d | spyGoodLuck77 | Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,402 | −$2,402 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | a8999 | FC Bayern München | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,412 | −$1,412 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | alaskabaked3 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $6,835 | +$4,528 +66% | 14 |
| 2d | UpTheBlues26 fills | FC Bayern München | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $80,352 | +$52,742 +66% | 14 |
| 2d |  0010001000001100 | FC Bayern München | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,611 | +$1,611 +100% | — |
| 2d | UpTheBlues34 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $61,864 | −$61,864 −100% | 12 |
Iamworm4 shares
ABCDE125188,729 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, 2026 between FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC) means the market gives it about 100%.