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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 82% | −2 pts | −7 pts | 81¢ · 83¢ (2¢) | — | in 172d |
| Italy | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 172d |
| Belgium | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 172d |
| Croatia | 34% | — | — | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 172d |
| Denmark | 14% | −1 pts | −18 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | — | in 172d |
| Greece | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 172d |
| Norway | 16% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 10¢ · 21¢ (11¢) | — | in 172d |
| Serbia | 83% | +3 pts | — | 82¢ · 83¢ (1¢) | $1.13K | in 172d |
| England | 1% | −1 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 172d |
| Portugal | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 172d |
| France | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 172d |
| Wales | 45% | — | −1 pts | 44¢ · 45¢ (1¢) | $188 | in 172d |
| Spain | 1% | −2 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 172d |
| Czechia | 87% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 85¢ · 89¢ (4¢) | $43.2 | in 172d |
| Germany | 7% | — | 0 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 172d |
| Netherlands | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 172d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 82¢ for Türkiye means the market gives it about 82%.