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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 34% | — | +2 pts | 33¢ · 35¢ (2¢) | $7.86 | in 233d |
| England | 19% | — | +1 pts | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| France | 17% | — | −4 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $144 | in 233d |
| Portugal | 11% | — | — | 11¢ · 11¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Netherlands | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Greece | 6% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 233d |
| Denmark | 5% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 233d |
| Germany | 4% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 233d |
| Italy | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Belgium | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Norway | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 233d |
| Croatia | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Wales | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Netherlands | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,012 | +$27 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 22d | Germany | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,034 | +$24 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 22d | Greece | BuyNo99¢ → 95¢ | $1,002 | −$44 −4.4% | 4 | |
| 22d | melchior1248 | Belgium | BuyNo98¢ | $1,077 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 22d | Norway | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,069 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 34¢ for Spain means the market gives it about 34%.