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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-35% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >50% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 45-50% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 40-45% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 35-40% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <30% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840d | ASOEMFE | 35-40% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$38 +3.3% | 10 |
| 840d | ASOEMFE2 fills | 30-35% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,819 | +$501 +5.7% | 10 |
| 840d | ASOEMFE2 fills | >50% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$101 +3.0% | 10 |
| 841d |  redbloodzcell | >50% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$36 +1.8% | 10 |
| 874d |  ImJustKen | 30-35% | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $3,278 | −$3,278 −100% | 10 |
| 876d |  gopfan | 40-45% | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$920 +92% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30-35% means the market gives it about 100%.