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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $200 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d |  Porx2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $3,346 | −$58 −1.7% | — |
| 62d | Porx2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $2,923 | +$73 +2.5% | 7 |
| 105d |  archaic | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,139 | +$41 +3.6% | 7 |
| 157d | ImHereForTheRewards | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 99¢ | $1,792 | −$241 −13% | — |
| 226d | NyomiPowers | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,051 | +$19 +1.8% | 6 |
| 351d |  WinnieTheDog | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 99¢ | $1,300 | +$228 +18% | 15 |
ZnotluvuiSamez10,326 shares
yevhenry2,855 shares
bifurcatio1,036 sharesIf Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 1%.