| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 2,952 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,760 | +$34 +1.2% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 2,231 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $2,123 | +$75 +3.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 1,611 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $1,377 | +$22 +1.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 1,557 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $1,238 | −$61 −4.7% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 1,050 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $1,002 | −$5 −0.5% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1,056 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $997 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 1,044 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $768 | +$209 +37% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 911 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $711 | −$7 −1.0% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 732 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $644 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,216 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $563 | −$29 −4.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 40d | Yes | 1,400 | 28¢ → 38¢ | $525 | +$140 +36% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 528 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $519 | +$29 +5.9% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 496 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $490 | +$78 +19% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 459 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $443 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 450 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $439 | +$24 +5.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,122 | 50¢ → 39¢ | $436 | −$127 −23% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 463 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $419 | −$6 −1.4% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 429 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $413 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 434 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $406 | −$1 −0.2% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 408 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $392 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $389 | +$9 +2.3% |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 397 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $385 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 103d | Yes | 1,672 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $368 | −$7 −1.9% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 385 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $356 | +$23 +6.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 396 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $347 | +$98 +39% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,386 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $333 | −$139 −29% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 72d | Yes | 408 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $328 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 327 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $315 | +$5 +1.5% |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 329 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $313 | +$1 +0.3% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 320 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $302 | +$5 +1.5% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 3,328 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $301 | +$87 +40% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 311 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $297 | +$4 +1.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$3 +0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,604 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $289 | +$24 +8.9% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 315 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $288 | +$16 +6.0% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$13 +4.6% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $279 | +$6 +2.2% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 340 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $279 | +$26 +10% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$4 +1.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 299 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $274 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 585 | 36¢ → 46¢ | $269 | +$59 +28% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 261 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $256 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $254 | +$10 +4.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 300 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$8 +3.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 474 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $240 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 886 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $239 | −$38 −14% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 775 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $236 | −$12 −4.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 26d | Yes | 400 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $230 | −$5 −2.1% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 244 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $218 | +$29 +15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 450 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $209 | +$7 +3.3% |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Ends in 11d | No | 210 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $208 | +$10 +4.9% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 2,403 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $203 | −$21 −9.5% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$10 +5.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,117 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $195 | +$14 +7.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 749d | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $181 | −$40 −18% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 500 | 59¢ → 36¢ | $177 | −$115 −39% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 177 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $171 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 215 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $164 | +$24 +17% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | No | 390 | 32¢ → 42¢ | $162 | +$37 +30% |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?Ends in 162d | No | 190 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $158 | +$8 +5.3% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 1,000 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $155 | −$5 −3.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,400 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $138 | −$163 −54% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 132 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $126 | +$6 +4.6% |
| Netanyahu drops out before election?Ends in 6d | No | 125 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $123 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,139 | 29¢ → 11¢ | $120 | −$207 −63% |
| Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $116 | +$8 +6.9% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 2,011 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $111 | −$240 −68% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 1,280 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $109 | +$14 +15% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 567 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $102 | −$73 −42% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 700 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $102 | −$82 −45% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 800 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $100 | −$140 −58% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$22 +28% |
| Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 101 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $98 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 99 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $94 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$4 +4.0% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 500 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $88 | −$3 −2.8% |
| Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 92 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $87 | +$7 +8.6% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 41d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $78 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 800 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $72 | −$46 −39% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 72d | Yes | 800 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $68 | −$31 −31% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 500 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $60 | −$10 −14% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,485 | 22¢ → 4¢ | $57 | −$275 −83% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 800 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $56 | −$24 −30% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 237d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 53¢ | $53 | −$17 −24% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 3d | Yes | 389 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $41 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 4,296 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $39 | +$9 +29% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $38 | −$74 −66% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 103d | Yes | 488 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $37 | +$2 +6.1% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 10d | Yes | 400 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$87 −72% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 72d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $31 | −$21 −40% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 224 | 31¢ → 14¢ | $30 | −$39 −56% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 881 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$6 −18% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $26 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 448 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $24 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 145 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $19 | −$5 −21% |
| António Guterres out by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 25 | 53¢ → 76¢ | $19 | +$6 +42% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $18 | −$2 −7.9% |
