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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +37 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −6 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −30 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | ebiazus | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,310 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | Arid-Hurdle | Oscar Piastri | SellNo>99¢ | $6,294 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | Morf | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,633 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | HairyBaldy | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $5,255 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | nonkenny90 | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | oVyg7f | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,307 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d |  jhown | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,470 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | Kairos. | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | tcp2 | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | tcp2 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,018 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | tcp2 | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  Simbaaaa | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,763 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 369d | 554A4 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $31,633 | +$2,142 +6.8% | 4 |
| 369d | OPW26 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$173 +8.7% | 4 |
| 369d | tarotanaka | Max Verstappen | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$431 +18% | 4 |
| 369d | MukuPuku | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 369d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Max Verstappen | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$237 +20% | 4 |
| 369d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Lando Norris | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$311 +21% | 4 |
| 369d | affs20791 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$330 +28% | 4 |
| 369d | sportbetss | Lando Norris | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
| 369d |  Nooserac | Lando Norris | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 369d | Gentle-Millstone | Lando Norris | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 7 |
| 369d | nonkenny902 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | +$125 +3.8% | 4 |
| 369d | fabauz | Max Verstappen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 4 |
| 369d |  PinkPunks- | Lando Norris | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,938 | −$1,938 −100% | 4 |
| 369d | 0xe42e…8d892 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $3,935 | −$3,935 −100% | 4 |
| 369d |  brodiaga2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,558 | +$228 +1.4% | 4 |
| 369d | PinkPunks- | Max Verstappen | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | −$1,117 −61% | — |
| 369d | cellarrood | Max Verstappen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,125 +56% | 4 |
| 369d | XVFlow | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$58 +1.2% | 4 |
| 369d | PinkPunks- | Max Verstappen | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$1,039 +55% | 4 |
| 370d | Supah9ga | Lando Norris | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$568 +39% | 4 |
| 370d | ruby007 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$29 +2.0% | 4 |
| 370d | ruby007 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$720 +56% | 4 |
| 370d |  UwO | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,700 | +$300 +1.0% | 4 |
| 370d | 554A2 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$84 +2.1% | 5 |
| 370d | 554A | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 370d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h112 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,508 | −$4,508 −100% | 9 |
| 370d | SpartanWar | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,939 | +$1,111 +28% | 10 |
| 371d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$745 +28% | 8 |
| 374d |  sleepy-panda | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$17 +1.6% | 4 |
| 375d | noismypreferences | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$334 +33% | 6 |
| 375d | affs20791 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | +$33 +2.1% | 4 |
| 375d | affs20791 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,751 | +$249 +4.3% | 4 |
| 378d | nonkenny90 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$49 +2.0% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for October 19, 2025. If the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after December 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.