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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 100% | +20 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Germany vs. Serbia) | 0% | −14 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −6 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Rotating-Snuggle | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $8,014 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 22d | Educated-Shoat2 fills | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,123 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | lag1232 fills | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | ukowna | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $53,647 | −$54 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Chubby-Emu | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $2,528 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | yupiiiiiiiii | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,115 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | ABSOLWENTzPIly | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Flaznorp8 fills | Germany | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $43,018 | +$6,690 +16% | 8 |
| 22d | Starchy-Paramecium | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,238 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 22d | Serbia | SellNo>99¢ | $1,073 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 22d | dimitriapprado | Germany | SellYes100¢ | $2,398 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 22d | olpy | Germany | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 22d | Germany | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$263 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 22d | SHSVHVD3 | Germany | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,315 | −$275 −6.4% | — |
| 22d | dfdffdfdfd | Germany | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$72 −6.4% | — |
| 22d | Flaznorp | Germany | BuyNo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,402 | −$1,402 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Serbia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,918 | +$42 +0.7% | 4 |
| 22d | 0F626 fills | Germany | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $60,256 | +$8,300 +14% | 4 |
| 22d | Serbia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 22d | justme003 | Germany | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,592 | +$294 +5.3% | 4 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $11,802 | +$2,341 +20% | 10 |
| 22d | 0x1372…4ce0 | Germany | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$83 +8.3% | 4 |
| 22d | GoalLineGhost | Germany | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$410 +25% | 4 |
| 22d | Flaznorp | Serbia | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $2,060 | −$2,060 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | SHSVHVD3 | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,804 | +$779 +20% | 4 |
| 22d | swy01 | Germany | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$202 +19% | 4 |
| 22d | PSGS3 fills | Germany | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,012 | +$667 +17% | 4 |
| 22d | sbsigner | Germany | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | −$1,290 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | Rotating-Snuggle | Germany | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $6,741 | +$1,281 +19% | 4 |
| 22d | Nasik | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$231 +20% | 4 |
| 22d | dimitriapprado | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 4 |
| 22d | neutralwave23 | Serbia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$59 +5.3% | 6 |
| 22d | papandopulo | Germany | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | −$421 −22% | — |
| 22d | Flaznorp2 fills | Draw (Germany vs. Serbia) | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,640 | +$802 +14% | 7 |
| 22d | ukowna | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $44,492 | +$9,113 +20% | 10 |
| 22d | Whole-Leading | Germany | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $14,000 | +$2,998 +21% | 10 |
| 22d | 0F625 fills | Serbia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $68,940 | +$3,876 +5.6% | 5 |
| 22d | Tianhe | Serbia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$78 +5.3% | 6 |
| 22d | Chubby-Emu | Germany | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$430 +20% | 10 |
| 22d | Draw (Germany vs. Serbia) | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$166 +14% | 8 | |
| 22d | jhgbedlj2346 | Serbia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,095 | +$426 +5.3% | 5 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Draw (Germany vs. Serbia) | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,187 | +$626 +15% | 7 |
| 22d | N3D12 fills | Germany | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,713 | +$636 +23% | 9 |
| 22d | kneelbeforetheking | Germany | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$342 +23% | 9 |
| 22d | sugar-super | Germany | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$469 +23% | 9 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Germany and Serbia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Germany means the market gives it about 100%.