| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 29,262 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $24,142 | +$3,655 +18% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 20,978 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $19,614 | +$3,082 +19% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20,108 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $18,801 | −$8 −0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 21h | Yes | 18,020 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $17,632 | +$680 +4.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10,992 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $10,388 | +$2,068 +25% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 7,977 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $7,726 | −$10 −0.1% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 234d | Yes | 8,271 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $7,320 | +$139 +1.9% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 7,938 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $7,025 | +$261 +3.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8,200 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $7,011 | −$319 −4.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7,304 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $6,902 | +$673 +11% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 7,337 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $6,786 | +$506 +8.1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,428 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $6,213 | +$1,102 +22% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 7d | Nothing | 5,780 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5,630 | +$155 +2.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,814 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $5,437 | +$421 +8.4% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 4,795 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $4,725 | +$99 +2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,533 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $4,703 | +$95 +2.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 4,625 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $4,474 | +$205 +4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4,382 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $4,226 | +$162 +4.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,430 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $4,186 | +$496 +13% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4,518 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $4,179 | +$403 +11% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4,088 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $3,741 | −$97 −2.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,044 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $3,741 | +$791 +27% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,580 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $2,482 | +$234 +10% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 2,658 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $2,352 | −$40 −1.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 2,305 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,258 | +$25 +1.1% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 2,050 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $1,835 | −$9 −0.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,777 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,762 | +$38 +2.2% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 1,663 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,598 | +$67 +4.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,475 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $1,412 | +$173 +14% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,500 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1,358 | −$53 −3.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $1,357 | +$361 +36% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,281 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,226 | +$43 +3.6% |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,279 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $1,196 | +$20 +1.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,159 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,131 | +$6 +0.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,141 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,098 | +$58 +5.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,181 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1,081 | +$53 +5.2% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,094 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $1,028 | +$170 +20% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,166 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $1,026 | −$32 −3.1% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,061 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $960 | +$17 +1.8% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 1,312 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $833 | +$115 +16% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 818 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $773 | −$4 −0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,013 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $755 | −$25 −3.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 707 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $690 | +$81 +13% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 750 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $686 | −$19 −2.7% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 694 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $579 | −$10 −1.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 681 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $569 | +$10 +1.8% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$23 +5.1% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $380 | −$35 −8.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 381 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $368 | +$63 +21% |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 344 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $334 | +$31 +10% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 322 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $313 | +$30 +10% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 312 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $303 | +$16 +5.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 380 | 87¢ → 79¢ | $298 | −$32 −9.8% |
| D4vd released from custody in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 220 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $205 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $195 | +$13 +7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 226 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $185 | +$22 +14% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 205 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $181 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 109 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $105 | +$10 +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$1 +0.6% |
| New pandemic before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 60 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $53 | +$4 +8.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$5 +11% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 46 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.2% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 23 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$4 +23% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$0 −63% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,701 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$453 −100% |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,650 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,294 −100% |
