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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 100% | +30 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye) | 0% | −18 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Türkiye | 0% | −12 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Moha0012000 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,111 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | beeemw | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $9,088 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | yupiiiiiiiii | Italy | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,584 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18d |  LonnieHawkins | Italy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,314 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 18d |  0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x2 fills | Italy | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | −$392 −18% | — |
| 18d | muymaurice | Türkiye | SellNo>99¢ | $1,329 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | AllYouCanEat2 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,308 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | ARocky33 | Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$96 +6.4% | 4 |
| 18d | Yawning-Chicken | Italy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$102 +6.4% | 4 |
| 18d | Rocky31 | Italy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$96 +6.4% | 4 |
| 18d | Rocky31 | Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$96 +6.4% | 4 |
| 18d | ARocky33 | Italy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$96 +6.4% | 4 |
| 18d | LonnieHawkins | Italy | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,111 | +$237 +7.6% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp9 fills | Italy | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $22,118 | +$11,875 +54% | 4 |
| 18d | deepakrego | Italy | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$196 −16% | — |
| 18d | UpTheBlues | Türkiye | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp2 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,054 | +$350 +6.9% | 4 |
| 18d | Costly-Compass-Monitor | Italy | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$198 −18% | — |
| 18d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Italy | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | +$1,382 +53% | 4 |
| 18d | notshaynecoppin | Türkiye | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 18d | NX-Trading | Italy | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$253 +20% | 4 |
| 18d | Bouncy-Coalition | Italy | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$285 −23% | — |
| 18d |  testingsomething1 | Italy | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$311 −25% | — |
| 18d | Momo633 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $34,265 | +$3,326 +9.7% | 4 |
| 18d | Thunderous-Authorisation-Snarl3 fills | Italy | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $4,204 | −$4,204 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | beeemw | Italy | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $7,005 | +$2,092 +30% | 4 |
| 19d | 0x760f…326a | Italy | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $4,796 | +$4,796 +100% | — |
| 19d | Triplosettete | Italy | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$264 +24% | 4 |
| 19d | Kekooo | Türkiye | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$141 +5.3% | 4 |
| 19d | justme003 | Türkiye | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,686 | +$299 +6.4% | 4 |
| 19d | ts6969 | Italy | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$527 +35% | 4 |
| 19d | kmak1 | Italy | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
| 19d |  oya64 | Italy | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | −$623 −33% | — |
| 19d | sugar-super | Italy | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$947 +32% | 4 |
| 19d | 0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x0x | Türkiye | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$89 −8.7% | — |
| 19d | user921123 | Italy | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,062 | +$2,062 +100% | — |
| 19d |  12..3 fills | Italy | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $8,879 | −$4,831 −54% | — |
| 19d | captrader10 | Italy | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | +$1,023 +100% | — |
| 19d | captrader10 | Italy | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | 0x760f…326a | Italy | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | Wintermute-Sport | Italy | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$585 +56% | 14 |
| 19d | BRUMITO19 | Italy | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 14 |
| 19d | vse-svoi | Italy | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$1,800 +56% | 14 |
| 19d | acorp | Italy | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | −$1,675 −100% | 14 |
| 19d |  us3912 fills | Italy | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,757 | −$2,757 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | Substantial-Service | Italy | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $40,305 | +$22,671 +56% | 14 |
| 19d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Italy | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | +$1,487 +56% | 14 |
| 19d |  Endgametheory | Italy | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,690 | −$1,690 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | Endgametheory | Italy | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $9,600 | +$9,600 +100% | — |
| 19d | 12..3 fills | Italy | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $9,746 | +$4,151 +43% | 12 |
| 19d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Italy | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $19,509 | −$19,509 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | Bouncy-Coalition | Italy | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$480 +47% | 14 |
| 19d | testingsomething1 | Italy | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$471 +47% | 14 |
| 19d | zhqzhq | Türkiye | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $41,000 | +$5,575 +14% | 8 |
| 19d |  nigiri993 fills | Italy | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $19,576 | +$9,172 +47% | 12 |
| 19d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Türkiye | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $6,433 | −$6,433 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | neutralwave23 | Türkiye | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$315 +12% | 8 |
| 19d | Far-Pocketwatch2 fills | Türkiye | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $2,571 | −$2,571 −100% | 14 |
| 19d |  PhoenixSuns | Türkiye | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,368 | −$1,368 −100% | 14 |
berbisminsk12,816 sharesus39112,091 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Italy and Türkiye.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Italy means the market gives it about 100%.