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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +100 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,971 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 782d | 0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D822 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,741 | +$30 +0.4% | 4 |
| 782d |  Car5 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,856 | +$215 +2.7% | 4 |
| 782d |  BlackSky1232 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$68 +1.4% | 4 |
| 782d | Enchanting-Iceberg | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$36 +1.8% | 4 |
| 782d | BeN | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$60 +4.7% | 4 |
| 782d | Crock952 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,588 | −$290 −6.3% | — |
| 782d |  50Whence3 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,970 | +$800 +10% | 4 |
| 783d | Car2 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $3,743 | −$3,743 −100% | 4 |
| 783d | VorpalQuark | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 4 |
| 788d |  ImJustKen | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,378 | −$1,378 −100% | 4 |
| 788d | OriginalGeezer | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,221 | −$1,221 −100% | 4 |
VeinyMilkersMMM7 shares
Imron5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between August 21 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.