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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 858d |  ImJustKen | Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$59 +4.9% | 4 |
The election of the next EU commissioner following European Elections is currently scheduled for July 18. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula von der Leyen is reelected as the next president of the European Commission. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If no new president of the European Commission is elected following the June 6-9 European Elections by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the European Parliament.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.