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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yamandú Orsi | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Álvaro Delgado | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrés Ojeda | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guido Manini Ríos | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691d | VvVv2 fills | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,333 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 691d |  d1k21 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,826 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 691d | Ordon | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 691d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,220 | +$17 +0.3% | 10 |
| 691d |  XiJinPing-478 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,460 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 691d | rpo | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,964 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 691d |  pirateshere | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,011 | +$12 +0.4% | 10 |
| 691d | longtern2 fills | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,626 | +$24 +0.4% | 10 |
| 693d | goingsocial | Álvaro Delgado | SellNo>99¢ | $2,384 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 693d | goingsocial | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes100¢ | $7,346 | −$37 −0.5% | — |
| 693d | longtern | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes100¢ | $1,194 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 694d | longtern | Guido Manini Ríos | SellNo>99¢ | $2,530 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 694d | VvVv | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $8,249 | −$25 −0.3% | — |
| 695d | currspec80 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 696d | VvVv | Álvaro Delgado | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,587 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 696d |  Mr.Lovegood | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,545 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 696d | cigarettes | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,611 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 696d |  Car | Álvaro Delgado | SellNo>99¢ | $1,704 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 696d | Car | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $2,851 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 696d |  debased | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 697d | Denzl | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 697d | gilmar | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,164 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 697d |  USER145871258963 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $2,832 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 698d | cipherpilot | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,427 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 698d | makjacky | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,048 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 698d | Merases1 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 698d | Denzl | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 698d | TheMicroTrader001 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | −$23 −1.3% | — |
| 698d | Degen9999 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | −$21 −1.3% | — |
| 698d | Febux | Álvaro Delgado | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 698d | Manu888 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$30 −2.5% | — |
| 698d | Car | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,859 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 698d | Bodya402895 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 698d |  DimSumBoiiii | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 698d |  Njklqwerrbn | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,154 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 698d | cigarettes | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 698d | Holla2 | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,099 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 698d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,194 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 698d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Álvaro Delgado | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,137 | +$63 +1.0% | 10 |
| 698d | goingsocial | Álvaro Delgado | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,058 | +$335 +16% | 10 |
| 698d | goingsocial2 fills | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,250 | +$1,053 +17% | 10 |
| 698d | Njklqwerrbn | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,045 | +$131 +6.4% | 10 |
| 698d | lnmee | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$78 +6.5% | 10 |
| 698d | TheMicroTrader001 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$394 +29% | 10 |
| 699d | MrLumberJack | Yamandú Orsi | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$597 −40% | — |
| 699d | titimiquito | Álvaro Delgado | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | +$1,030 +100% | — |
| 700d | MrLumberJack | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$414 +25% | 10 |
| 700d | Sidsidsid | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$266 +27% | 10 |
| 701d | cigarettes | Andrés Ojeda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 701d | Mali332 fills | Yamandú Orsi | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $2,131 | −$2,131 −100% | 14 |
| 703d | Degen9999 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | +$441 +27% | 10 |
| 704d | jj05 | Álvaro Delgado | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$605 +15% | 10 |
| 710d | fede7893 | Andrés Ojeda | SellNo>99¢ | $10,018 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 711d | CrypTrillionaire | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$231 +12% | 10 |
| 714d | currspec80 | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$122 +10% | 10 |
| 715d | lug | Yamandú Orsi | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,446 | +$253 +10% | 10 |
| 727d | fede7893 | Andrés Ojeda | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$31 +0.3% | 10 |
| 733d | NinkaSakamoto | Álvaro Delgado | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$240 +12% | 11 |
This is a negrisk group over the winner of the 2024 Uruguayan presidential election, scheduled for October 27, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yamandú Orsi means the market gives it about 100%.