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Polymarket wallet 0x96ea07c1179159c816255ceca61309203c57f534 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2024 · also shown as Grumpy-Normalisation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.9% |
| U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.3% |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 706d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes95¢ | $10 |
| 707d | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? | BuyNo11¢ | $10 |
| 708d | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ | $10 |
| 708d | U.S. military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? | BuyYes83¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | BuyYes91¢ | $10 |
| 708d | Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BuyYes73¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.