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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 300d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — | |
| 359d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | +$104 +5.8% | 20 | |
| 363d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$120 −6.7% | — | |
| 369d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,777 | +$123 +6.9% | 20 | |
| 376d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,727 | +$273 +10% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. announces that they are occupying/using Bagram air base in Afghanistan for military or intelligence operations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements form the U.S government and military.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.