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Polymarket wallet 0x1bcc86ae519d08151a26d34fc151abfcd158f652 · on Polymarket since Sep 29, 2025 · also shown as Disloyal-Parachute
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 384 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,217 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$440 −100% |
| US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 996 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $21 |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $10 |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyUp56¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $199 |
| 390d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $60 |
| 390d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $363 |
| 390d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $11 |
| 390d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $39 |
| 390d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $6 |
| 390d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $22 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.