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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 967d | professorx | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,842 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 969d | CrownPrince | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
| 970d |  WordleAddict | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$28 +2.0% | 4 |
| 976d | MickeyMouse2 fills | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,566 | +$346 +9.7% | 4 |
| 981d | AnonS32 | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$104 +8.7% | 4 |
| 981d | khabib-706 | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | +$152 +9.9% | 4 |
| 984d |  Squee | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$136 +12% | 4 |
| 984d |  ImJustKen3 fills | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $10,930 | +$1,691 +15% | 4 |
| 989d | Anon5566 | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$265 +18% | 4 |
| 994d |  LBZcapital2 fills | US bank failure in February? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,904 | +$996 +17% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between February 1 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be in February 2024. If there is a potential bank failure in February and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.