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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  LinaBell | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,570 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | LinaBell | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | −$271 −17% | — |
| 229d | Huludubu | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$171 −17% | — |
| 232d | OAK86 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | +$1,022 +100% | — |
| 234d | OAK86 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.