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Polymarket wallet 0xce1b30b32c04f358ceac2d2e5d3a9f123641969a · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 359 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 373 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | BuyYes22¢ | $100 |
| 229d | Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack? | BuyYes25¢ | $90 |
| 229d | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SellYes>99¢ | $90 |
| 232d | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes59¢ | $53 |
| 235d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | BuyYes9¢ | $40 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo9¢ | $15 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo12¢ | $25 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellNo10¢ | $11 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellNo7¢ | $55 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo6¢ | $20 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo4¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.