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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,517 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 753d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 755d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | −$95 −4.0% | — | |
| 755d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,839 | +$161 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 756d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | +$228 +7.9% | 4 | |
| 756d | cashmoneyy2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$185 +2.8% | 4 |
| 756d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,823 | −$363 −2.3% | — | |
| 756d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $17,587 | +$458 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 756d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | −$38 −2.0% | — | |
| 761d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,272 | +$234 +3.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. govenment announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this markets time frame will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the market's timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.