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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +22 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157d | Mashtots | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,129 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | Nostradamus69 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,389 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  Gleaming-Pear | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,518 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 157d |  Ahpo | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 158d | Nostradamus69 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$317 +20% | 4 |
| 159d |  paddaa2 fills | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | +$1,992 +38% | 4 |
| 160d |  WarriorPooh | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | −$807 −44% | — |
| 160d |  Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$408 +41% | 4 |
| 161d | Internal-Ridge | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$751 +59% | 4 |
| 162d |  38327832383823 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$536 −42% | — |
| 163d | WarriorPooh | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$818 +43% | 4 |
| 165d | mm4ker3 fills | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $5,900 | −$5,900 −100% | 4 |
| 202d |  toutiege | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,010 | −$2,010 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $8,208 | −$8,208 −100% | 4 |
| 207d | kidpoker425 fills | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $9,795 | +$14,624 +149% | 8 |
toutiege3,223 shares
labistiiia921 shares
ImJustKen633 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.