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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  OraculumNobius | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,172 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d |  PaddyAlpha | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,620 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 289d |  ScottyNooo | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,539 | +$26 +0.2% | 4 |
| 289d | bober000 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 289d | bober000 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,500 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 289d | Monopoly_Money | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,788 | +$39 +0.8% | 4 |
| 289d |  TylerTurden2 fills | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,611 | +$37 +0.8% | 4 |
| 289d | LG33 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,836 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 289d | TerreMoto | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,633 | +$42 +0.9% | 4 |
| 289d | Kevindoto | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,056 | +$114 +1.0% | 4 |
| 289d |  Chims | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 289d |  MisTKy3 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$23 +2.0% | 4 |
| 289d | End123 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$64 +2.2% | 4 |
| 289d | Hearty-Fall | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$57 +5.7% | 5 |
| 289d |  tsybka | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | +$329 +14% | 6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces board the "Bella 1" by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Board refers to U.S. forces physically boarding the Bella 1, including placing personnel on the vessel for inspection, enforcement, seizure, or operational control, regardless of whether the vessel is ultimately seized or diverted. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.