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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100% | +92 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| November 30 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +85 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| September 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293d |  Goopster | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,652 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  Zhangmuzhihell | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,033 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  Shriker | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,032 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | Shriker | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,372 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | 0xaa58…05bf | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,093 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | 0x29ad…edb3 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | 0xed06…c8c1 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,192 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  zwxokx | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,748 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  aenews24 fills | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $37,745 | +$450 +1.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,304 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d | Contrarian - 7451 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d | Goopster | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,652 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d |  DonationsReceiver | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,989 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | zwxokx | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,978 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d | 0x891c…e137 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,595 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | 0xdc9c…42ca | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,493 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | 0x2413…b0f8 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | yougotme | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,341 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | Trumpchi | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | 0xacd0…5a9f | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,446 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | Qtyu | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | 0xc1af…0dae | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 293d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,982 | +$36 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  49023809234904 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,741 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | 0xac3e…9aeb | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,487 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | fdgfrtgt4 | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,553 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | Wicked-Mayonnaise | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,807 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  isunou | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,582 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 293d |  cumprod | January 31 | SellYes100¢ | $14,925 | −$75 −0.5% | — |
| 293d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $72,407 | −$291 −0.4% | — |
| 293d |  CertifiedCRY3 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,468 | +$188 +0.5% | 4 |
| 293d |  Chims | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | alliswell | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $75,152 | −$226 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | pc95272 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,366 | +$107 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | ChampaLiberation2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,480 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 293d | 0xdc9c…42ca | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,988 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  Wagner275738 | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,788 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | dzsibenaja2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,459 | +$51 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | Hull | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,707 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | cumprod | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | hgoni | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | 0xed06…c8c1 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,290 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | 0x29ad…edb3 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,182 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | 0xaa58…05bf | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,242 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | 49023809234904 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | Chims | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  wish- | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,940 | −$60 −0.3% | — |
| 293d | 0x0f53…3e1d | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,045 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  Roflan-ludoman4 fills | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $54,435 | −$704 −1.3% | — |
| 293d | Nightfr | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | arttheking2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | FUTBALL | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,880 | +$120 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | Nuriols65Cuba2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,381 | +$119 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d |  no1yet | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $123,869 | +$248 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | starsik | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,112 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly4 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $124,107 | +$495 +0.4% | 4 |
| 293d | Roflan-ludoman | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,441 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | Spry-Visor | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,115 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 293d | antena | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d |  huyase | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
AllByMyseIf637,213 shares
funding160,000 shares
GooberThaGooner10,967 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 31 means the market gives it about 100%.